30/10/07 - 8 Point Lead

Independent: "The findings will worry Labour MPs, who have taken comfort from some recent surveys showing the party in the high thirties despite Mr Brown's embarrassing retreat over the election that never was. However, Labour will hope that the Liberal Democrats revive after choosing a new leader in December, which could depress the Conservatives' ratings. The recent advance of Mr Cameron's party has been partly at the expense of the Liberal Democrats."

UK Polling Report: "The eight point lead is the largest enjoyed by the Conservatives in any poll since April, though since they started weighting by past vote ComRes have tended to produce some of the better poll findings for the Tories. It is also a good rating for the Lib Dems compared to their recent poor showings. It’s tempting to take these findings as a suggestion that a Lib Dem recovery would hurt Labour more than the Conservatives, I think it’s a bit early to conclude that yet though."

Mike Smithson: "Yet looking at the detailed data the biggest move to the Tories has not been from the leaderless Lib Dems but from Labour.  One in eight of those who said they had voted for Tony Blair’s party in May 2005 now say they are supporting the Tories. This is about the same proportion as the LD>CON switchers but, of course, there are far fewer of them."